Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 23.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Jahn Regensburg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
0.19) 
-0.07) 
