Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
0.23) 
-0.31) 
