Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 32.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
6.79) 
-6.91) 
