Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.