SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.97%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | FC Koln |
41.41% ( 0.12) | 23.49% ( -0.06) | 35.1% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.09% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.36% ( 0.31) | 38.64% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.06% ( 0.33) | 60.94% ( -0.33) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.95% ( 0.18) | 19.05% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.36% ( 0.3) | 50.64% ( -0.3) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( 0.11) | 22.07% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( 0.17) | 55.41% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.42% Total : 41.41% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.49% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 35.1% |
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