Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
