SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | FC Koln |
40.66% ( -0.28) | 23.97% ( -0.05) | 35.37% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.35% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.08% ( 0.3) | 40.92% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.69% ( 0.31) | 63.31% ( -0.3) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( -0) | 20.35% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( -0) | 52.74% ( 0.01) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( 0.32) | 22.98% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.23% ( 0.46) | 56.77% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.96% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 8.05% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.37% |
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