SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 57.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
20.33% ( -0.15) | 21.69% ( 0.05) | 57.98% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.58% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.48% ( -0.45) | 41.51% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.08% ( -0.46) | 63.91% ( 0.45) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( -0.41) | 34.15% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( -0.43) | 70.84% ( 0.43) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% ( -0.13) | 14.06% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.35% ( -0.24) | 41.65% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 2.77% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.33% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 9.24% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.04% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 57.98% |
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