SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.72%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Koln | Draw | Hamburger SV |
34.19% ( 0.07) | 23% ( 0.04) | 42.8% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 64.69% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.55% ( -0.18) | 36.45% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.41% ( -0.19) | 58.59% ( 0.19) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.47% ( -0.04) | 21.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.4% ( -0.06) | 54.6% ( 0.06) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.44% ( -0.12) | 17.56% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.89% ( -0.21) | 48.11% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Koln | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.97% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.22% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.04% Total : 42.8% |
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