SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 49%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
49% ( -0.57) | 22.9% ( 0.31) | 28.08% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( -0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.95% ( -1.28) | 39.04% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.63% ( -1.35) | 61.36% ( 1.35) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.68) | 16.19% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.32% ( -1.24) | 45.68% ( 1.23) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.54% ( -0.48) | 26.45% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.36% ( -0.64) | 61.63% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.57% Total : 49% | 1-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.24% Total : 28.09% |
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