SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.42%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fortuna Dusseldorf in this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
39.61% ( -0.11) | 22.35% ( -0.01) | 38.04% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 67.98% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.55% ( 0.06) | 32.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.92% ( 0.07) | 54.08% ( -0.07) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( -0.02) | 17.21% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% ( -0.03) | 47.5% ( 0.03) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( 0.08) | 17.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.33% ( 0.13) | 48.66% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 3.27% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.04% |
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