SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.32%) and 1-3 (5.13%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Magdeburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
36.06% ( -0.7) | 22.07% ( 0.24) | 41.87% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 68.82% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.74% ( -1.35) | 31.26% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.31% ( -1.62) | 52.7% ( 1.62) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.76% ( -0.92) | 18.25% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.72% ( -1.59) | 49.29% ( 1.59) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.37) | 15.82% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.01% ( -0.7) | 45% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Magdeburg | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.07% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.33)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.88% Total : 41.87% |
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