SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 55.38%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (5.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
55.38% ( 0.06) | 21.06% ( 0) | 23.56% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.66% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.64% ( -0.1) | 34.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.73% ( -0.11) | 56.27% ( 0.11) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( -0.02) | 12.49% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.52% ( -0.03) | 38.47% ( 0.03) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.74% ( -0.1) | 27.25% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.32% ( -0.13) | 62.68% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.45% 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.35% Total : 21.06% | 1-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.88% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 23.56% |
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