Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 33.18% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest VfL Osnabruck win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.
