Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.66%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
