Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
