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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion
S

Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 5
Schalke


Gonther (35'), Cacutalua (54'), Zolinski (54'), Osei Owusu (66')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Terodde (36'), Vindheim (38'), Latza (51', 63'), Pieringer (72')
Vindheim (18'), Zalazar (39')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Schalke 04.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Schalke 04 would win this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawSchalke 04
25.91%24.03%50.06%
Both teams to score 55.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.13%45.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.82%68.18%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.02%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.62%18.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.49%49.51%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 25.91%
    Schalke 04 50.06%
    Draw 24.02%
Erzgebirge AueDrawSchalke 04
1-0 @ 6.69%
2-1 @ 6.53%
2-0 @ 3.85%
3-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 25.91%
1-1 @ 11.33%
0-0 @ 5.81%
2-2 @ 5.53%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 9.84%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.34%
1-3 @ 5.42%
0-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 2.3%
0-4 @ 1.99%
2-4 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 50.06%

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