Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
45.77% | 23.62% | 30.61% |
Both teams to score 60.78% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% | 40.91% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.7% | 63.3% |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.85% | 18.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.88% | 49.12% |
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% | 25.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.32% | 60.67% |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
2-1 @ 9.23% 1-0 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.8% 3-1 @ 5.25% 3-0 @ 3.87% 3-2 @ 3.56% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.52% Other @ 3.66% Total : 45.77% | 1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 4.67% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-1 @ 6.34% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 1.95% 1-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.61% |
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