Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
