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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 19
Jan 29, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
 

Greuther Furth
3 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue

Hrgota (15', 34'), Green (60')
Green (23'), Bauer (54'), Meyerhofer (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Gnjatic (33'), Ballas (78')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Greuther Furth and Erzgebirge Aue.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greuther Furth win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greuther Furth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greuther Furth would win this match.

Result
Greuther FurthDrawErzgebirge Aue
56.24%23.52%20.24%
Both teams to score 50.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.44%49.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.41%71.59%
Greuther Furth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.56%17.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.11%47.9%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.14%38.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.41%75.59%
Score Analysis
    Greuther Furth 56.23%
    Erzgebirge Aue 20.24%
    Draw 23.51%
Greuther FurthDrawErzgebirge Aue
1-0 @ 11.83%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.77%
3-0 @ 6.02%
3-1 @ 5.69%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-1 @ 2.48%
4-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 56.23%
1-1 @ 11.18%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 23.51%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 5.29%
0-2 @ 3.03%
1-3 @ 1.67%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 20.24%

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