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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 26, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion

Erzgebirge Aue
2 - 1
Wurzburger

Kruger (79'), Ballas (86')
Breitkreuz (14'), Nazarov (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Munsy (52')
Hansen (48'), Kopacz (57'), Strohdiek (89'), Lotric (90+1')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and Wurzburger Kickers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Erzgebirge Aue in this match.

Result
Erzgebirge AueDrawWurzburger Kickers
45.17%24.49%30.34%
Both teams to score 57.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.95%45.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.6%67.4%
Erzgebirge Aue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94%20.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72%52.28%
Wurzburger Kickers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03%27.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.4%63.6%
Score Analysis
    Erzgebirge Aue 45.17%
    Wurzburger Kickers 30.34%
    Draw 24.49%
Erzgebirge AueDrawWurzburger Kickers
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 9.01%
2-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-0 @ 3.88%
3-2 @ 3.15%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 45.17%
1-1 @ 11.48%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.49%
1-2 @ 7.32%
0-1 @ 7.15%
0-2 @ 4.55%
1-3 @ 3.11%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.93%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 30.34%

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