SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Erzgebirge Aue win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Wurzburger Kickers had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Erzgebirge Aue win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wurzburger Kickers win was 1-2 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Erzgebirge Aue in this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 45.17% | 24.49% | 30.34% |
| Both teams to score 57.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.95% | 45.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.6% | 67.4% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.94% | 20.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.72% | 52.28% |
| Wurzburger Kickers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% | 27.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.4% | 63.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Wurzburger Kickers |
| 2-1 @ 9.22% 1-0 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.24% 3-1 @ 4.94% 3-0 @ 3.88% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.56% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.92% Total : 45.17% | 1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 5.88% 0-0 @ 5.61% 3-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 7.32% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 4.55% 1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.5% 0-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.8% Total : 30.34% |
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