Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.