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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
HL

St Pauli
3 - 2
Hamburger SV

Ole Becker (27'), Makienok (56', 58')
Paqarada (5'), Dzwigala (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kittel (43'), Glatzel (77')
Schonlau (3'), Kinsombi (66'), Kaufmann (90')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Hamburger SV.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
33.16%24.31%42.52%
Both teams to score 59.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.91%43.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.51%65.48%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.76%25.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.01%59.98%
Hamburger SV Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58%20.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15%52.85%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 33.16%
    Hamburger SV 42.52%
    Draw 24.31%
St PauliDrawHamburger SV
2-1 @ 7.76%
1-0 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.83%
3-0 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 33.16%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.31%
1-2 @ 8.96%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 4.74%
0-3 @ 3.45%
2-3 @ 3.27%
1-4 @ 1.88%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.52%

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