Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for SV Sandhausen had a probability of 22.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest SV Sandhausen win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.