Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.