Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for VfL Osnabruck had a probability of 17.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a VfL Osnabruck win it was 1-2 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
