SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
| Result | ||
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 31.81% | 24.24% | 43.95% |
| Both teams to score 59.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.76% | 43.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.36% | 65.63% |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.87% | 26.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.8% | 61.2% |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% | 19.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.06% | 51.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Karlsruher SC | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.55% 1-0 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 4.67% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.38% Total : 31.81% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-1 @ 8.39% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 4.91% 0-3 @ 3.66% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.98% 0-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.04% Total : 43.95% |
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