Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
