Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
42.85% | 25.16% | 31.99% |
Both teams to score 56.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.68% | 47.32% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% | 69.55% |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% | 22.05% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% | 55.39% |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.99% | 28.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.34% | 63.66% |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
1-0 @ 9.34% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 4.53% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.36% Total : 42.85% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5.72% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 7.56% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.21% 2-3 @ 2.42% 0-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.8% Total : 32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 29 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 61 |
2 | Heidenheim | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 59 | 31 | 28 | 57 |
3 | Hamburger SV | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 58 | 38 | 20 | 56 |
4 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 47 |
5 | St Pauli | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
6 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
7 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 40 |
9 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 39 |
10 | Hannover | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 37 |
11 | Greuther Furth | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 36 |
12 | Magdeburg | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 |
13 | Nuremberg | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 33 |
14 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 29 |
16 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28 | 45 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 28 |
18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 25 |
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