Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
