Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
