SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
43.18% ( 0.95) | 24.35% ( -0.02) | 32.47% ( -0.94) |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.5% ( -0.25) | 43.5% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.1% ( -0.25) | 65.89% ( 0.24) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.7% ( 0.32) | 20.29% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% ( 0.52) | 52.65% ( -0.52) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.14% ( -0.69) | 25.85% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.17% ( -0.93) | 60.82% ( 0.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.34% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.14) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.47% |
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