SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 59.92%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 20.34% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.66%) and 1-3 (7.16%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 2-1 (5.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | St Pauli |
20.34% ( -0.29) | 19.74% ( -0.04) | 59.92% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 63.77% ( -0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.84% ( -0.22) | 32.16% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.24% ( -0.26) | 53.75% ( 0.27) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.38) | 28.69% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.48) | 64.51% ( 0.49) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.43% ( 0.02) | 10.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.68% ( 0.03) | 34.32% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 2-1 @ 5.31% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 20.34% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.37% Total : 19.74% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.66% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 7.16% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 4.02% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)2-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 59.92% |
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