SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hertha Berlin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
33.38% ( 0.52) | 23.4% ( 0.12) | 43.21% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 62.91% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.34% ( -0.4) | 38.65% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.04% ( -0.42) | 60.96% ( 0.41) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.1) | 23.01% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.18% ( 0.15) | 56.81% ( -0.16) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.43) | 18.29% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( -0.72) | 49.35% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0)Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.38% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.39% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.68% Total : 43.21% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
