Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 34% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.74%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.08) 
