SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 37.74% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
37.74% ( 0.22) | 23.96% ( 0.07) | 38.29% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.63% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.33% ( -0.33) | 40.66% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.95% ( -0.34) | 63.05% ( 0.35) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( -0.04) | 21.63% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.25% ( -0.06) | 54.75% ( 0.07) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( -0.28) | 21.36% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.67% ( -0.44) | 54.33% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.74% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 38.29% |
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