Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.28%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.
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