SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Hamburger SV in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Hamburger SV |
29.98% ( 1.37) | 22.32% ( -0.04) | 47.7% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 65.21% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.07% ( 1.12) | 34.92% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.09% ( 1.24) | 56.9% ( -1.24) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( 1.41) | 23.17% ( -1.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.95% ( 2.02) | 57.05% ( -2.03) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.87% ( -0.05) | 15.13% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.3% ( -0.09) | 43.69% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Hamburger SV |
| 2-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.32% | 1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 5.76% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.12)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)3-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.24% Total : 47.7% |
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