Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
