Holstein Kiel
3 - 0
St Pauli

Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
46.3%	23.73%	29.97%

Both teams to score 60%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23%

41.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83%

64.17%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73%

18.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67%

49.33%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.42%

26.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.2%

61.8%

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 46.3%

St Pauli 29.97%

Draw 23.73%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	St Pauli
2-1 @ 9.3% 1-0 @ 8.26% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.3%	1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.73%	1-2 @ 7.25% 0-1 @ 6.44% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 3.2% 2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.06% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.97%