Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
