Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jahn Regensburg win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jahn Regensburg would win this match.
