Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 23.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
