Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
