Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
