SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Karlsruher SC win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Pauli in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
56.89% ( 0.07) | 22.19% ( -0.04) | 20.92% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57% ( 0.13) | 42.99% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.6% ( 0.13) | 65.39% ( -0.14) |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( 0.07) | 14.9% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.72% ( 0.13) | 43.27% ( -0.14) |
| Karlsruher SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0.04) | 34.42% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.87% ( 0.05) | 71.12% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Pauli | Draw | Karlsruher SC |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 56.89% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.18% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.98% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 20.92% |
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