Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.44%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.