Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
