Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.09%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.