Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hannover would win this match.