Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
