SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 43.16% | 25.49% | 31.34% |
| Both teams to score 54.7% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.97% | 49.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.89% | 71.11% |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.36% | 22.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.74% | 56.26% |
| St Pauli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% | 29.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.74% | 65.26% |
| Score Analysis |
| Nuremberg | Draw | St Pauli |
| 1-0 @ 9.85% 2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 7.32% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.62% 3-2 @ 2.73% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.19% Total : 43.16% | 1-1 @ 12.09% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.14% 1-2 @ 7.43% 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.34% |
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